A SERIES OF CYCLONES: ‘SHAHEEN’ SUCCESSOR TO ‘GULAB’

Only four months after the infamous Cyclone ‘Yaas’, which left people of the eastern coast devasted, a new cyclone named ‘Gulab’ hit the states of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. Cyclone Gulab approached the eastern coast on 26th September in the late hours of Sunday night.

It swept its way from Andhra Pradesh to Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh and hence, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned that the cyclone might re-intensify in a low-pressure area near Surat, Gujarat in the Arabian Sea as Cyclone ‘Shaheen’.

‘Shaheen’ will be a new approaching threat formed from the remains of ‘Gulab’ and is expected to wreak havoc on Friday. The Coast guard has raised warnings for merchants and fishermen to fall back to the harbors and not go on a voyage in the sea. The Coast Guard Headquarters at Porbandar, Okha, and stations in Gujarat have been alerted and have been told to stay on standby. In a video shared online, an Indian Coast Guard official can be seen notifying and advising the fisherman at sea to return to the harbor. “The message was also relayed through a shore-based radar system to those deep into the sea,” PRO Defence Gujarat tweeted.

“The remnant of the cyclonic storm Gulab lay as a well-marked low-pressure area over south Gujarat region and adjoining Gulf of Khambhat. It is very likely to move west north-westwards, emerge into the northeast Arabian sea and intensify into a depression by tomorrow,” IMD said in its latest cyclone bulletin on Wednesday.

The weather agency also said that the depression is expected to stray further west-north-westwards and concentrate into a cyclonic storm during the following 24 hours. In 2 days, it will continue to move west-north-westwards near Pakistan Maran coasts, away from the Indian coast.

As the Coast Guard requests fishermen and people who are at sea to retreat, the IMD said that the Sea surface temperature in the Arabian sea is about 28-30 degrees celsius, which is ideal for cyclonic formation. The IMD reportedly said that under these encouraging conditions, there is a moderate to a high probability of cyclogenesis over the northeast Arabian sea and the adjoining areas with further augmentation into a cyclonic storm between September 30 and October 2.

Meanwhile, one of the main causes for the cyclone’s remnants to gain strength is the availability of moisture in the atmosphere as it sweeps through the land across Telangana. Dr. GK Das, Director, Regional Meteorological Centre, Kolkata reported that the moment it comes close to a sea, it starts regaining energy from moisture and there is always a possibility that it will return. As the monsoon withdrawal has slowed down this year, the moisture content is high which is strengthening the cyclone.

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